Fashion Notebook

Financial Desk: Sales Down, But Earnings Up 40% for Gap, as Retailer Cuts Marketing Budget

We hate to see this, because it means less creative, but cutting its marketing expenses was one tactic that helped Gap bolster its bottom line, even as sales continued their slide into the red.

In addition to other cost cutting measures that included reduced remodeling efforts for Old Navy stores, and a $15 million pre-tax earnings benefit, Sabrina Simmons, Gap Inc.’s EVP/CFO, said in an earnings call late Thursday that “lower marketing expenses” also helped lift earnings 40% to $249 million, for the quarter ended May 3.

So where was the blood spilled in the marketing department?

Well, ad spend dropped almost 18% from the year-earlier period, closing at $93 million for the quarter. The $21 million reduction was due in large part to the absence of TV spots for the Gap brand, Simmons said. However, she added that shareholders and analysts shouldn’t expect such cuts to continue.

“Unlike this first quarter, we expect our marketing expenses in the second quarter to be fairly similar to last year’s level of $88 million,” she said.

Yay! Maybe we'll have some more fun creative to look forward to this summer, when we're all staying indoors and running the air conditioners to escape from global warming. That is, though of us who have TV. (We're luddites, y'all, except when we visit our wife to watch rounds and rounds of Lifetime Movies.)

While earnings might have been a bright spot, and showed the beleaguered firm capable of trimming costs for the benefit of its investors, sales trends showed signs of trouble amid an economic slowdown that has the whole retail industry reeling. Comp store sales at Gap North America dropped 7% for the quarter to $976 million, and Old Navy posted an 18% decrease, dropping to $1.2 billion in sales.

If you don't have your financial party hat on, folks, that means, pretty much, "things sucked  over the past three months." Which is too bad for Old Navy, because we, (and the wife), LOVE those new ads. It's like Gossip Girl meets Fred Flare's Crafternoon Delights. Seriously, some fierce-ass dresses that might have the retailer beating Forever 21 at its own game. Seriously, if you haven't seen these ads (also screen-grabbed, above, right), they just might change the way you view Old Navy. They did for us.

Meanwhile, on the richer side of things, Banana Republic's comp store sales dropped 4% to $538 million and Glenn Murphy, chairman and CEO,  said that the brand had been affected by challenging traffic trends, and an “uncharacteristically promotional” environment at the apparel chain’s direct competitors. Thus far, Banana Republic has avoided playing the promotional card to drive sales.

“We’re watching the competitive landscape very closely,” added Murphy. “And [we] are prepared to make the necessary adjustments to drive traffic if this promotional level that we are seeing currently was to continue.”

Yay SALES that are sure to come. Because, honey, that's a brand for the aspirational rich, not the real rich, and we ain't getting any more money any time soon. That is, until Obama is in the White House, but we don't want to get political. We just want good health care, education, and leadership that will get us out of this war, y'know, in less than 100 years. But we digress.

Net sales for the company dropped about 5% to $3.38 billion for the first quarter. The company has maintained its guidance for fiscal 2008 earnings per share to fall in the range of $1.20 to $1.27.

Couture Contest: Who Will Be Wearing These On The Red Carpet?

Let's stuff those bad dreams about The Recession for a moment and take a gander at the surreality of couture week! While more film is shuttling in over at Style.com, it's been a fun romp over the past few days through the high-concept runways of Christian Dior (which I've dubbed the "Baltimore's Miss Crabs" Collection), Chanel, Christian Lacroix, and Armani Privé.

But I guess we're never too far from bad dreams, are we? After all, while the ladies attending these shows are part of that rarified market that will buy whatever they want whenever they want it (cue the "Lola" theme), the reality is that the shows are little more than a big marketing stunt to drum up interest in the storied houses, and their designers.

For the most part, the only time we'll see a couture gown will be at a Costume Institute retrospective at the Metropolitan Museum of Art, or, of course on the red carpet for big ticket events like the Oscars. But wait, the Oscars might not even happen this year, meaning that there potentially could be the elimination of millions of consumer impressions for these brands across the loads of magazines and TV stations that cover this stuff. The horror!

But let's assume that the actresses will be ticking their way across that crimson spread, and that Ryan Seacrest will be there to catch it all (with a bunch of quips sure to prompt catty "outings" across the blogosphere for the day after). Who do you think can pull off these tricky designer looks? Drop your submissions in the comments box or shoot me a plug at enewman@brandweek.com. Happy guessing!

Though I would guess Privé is a lock for Katie Holmes in her next near-comatose red carpet/"news" interview gig. If you haven't seen, check it out here. "Mad Money," indeed!

             ARMANI PRIVÉ                    CHRISTIAN LACROIX                 CHRISTIAN DIOR

The Luxury Market, The Recession and What Marketers Can Do About It

If you haven't checked it out already—and it seems many of you have since it's o ne of the most popular stories on our site this week—give a quick gloss to my story about mass affluent consumers retreating from the luxury market as we head into what analysts and the papers seems to be projecting as a certain American recession. Read the full story here. 

Raúl Martinez, CEO and  executive creative director over at AR New York (they've done worked for brands including Salvatore Ferragamo, Dolce & Gabbana, Yves Saint Laurent, Versace and the most recent ads for Valentino, post the namesake's well-publicized adieu, pictured at right) seemed to sum it up nicely.

“I think the downturn in the luxury-goods market is now trickling down to Europe and it’s been a shock to many over there," he told me. "For a while there’s been a sort of comfort-level that luxury brands have enjoyed. Consumer are cautious and luxury brands are in alert mode.”

It's an interesting time for sure, and many of the analysts and consultants I spoke to for this story told me that they see several key points emerging from the luxury market's stumble over the past few weeks:

1. That affected luxury brands were taken by surprise given that they underestimated how much of their growth over the past five years had been fueled by these mass affluent consumers;

2. That the first area where tightened budgets might force some changes will be in the marketing and advertising departments. (This is, of course, a general market theory as well, and can be extrapolated to areas far beyond the luxury market in specific.;

3. And that some of those tightened ad dollars could increasingly go towards online campaigns, which offer greater ROI than the traditional media (no big secret to anyone) and also have the additional benefit of global reach that could prompt sales in foreign markets, which are still a thriving area for luxury goods.

However, the problem is that luxury marketers will most likely not be making quick, dramatic changes to their traditional media buys.

As Pam Danziger, the head of Unity Marketing, a luxury consultancy based in Stevens, Pa., told me: "The idea that magazine and TV advertising will go away is ridiculous, but what will become more important is having a better understanding of the consumer they're looking at. It's becoming much more vertical...with some of these niche magazines providing more connection to [the luxury sector's] real target market."

This trend seemed to be confirmed by Jason Binn, CEO of Niche Media, New York. Unless you're part of the uber-wealthy for whom these magazines are as ubiquitous as McDonald's golden arches are for the rest of us, you've probably seen his titles—among them Gotham, Hamptons, Ocean Drive and Los Angeles Confidential—in the high dollar rooms you booked through the company for a recent conference in Vegas. I know that I never stay at The Hotel on my own dime.

Per Danizger's assertion, Binn's group offers luxury marketers access to the consumers who will buy their products regardless of recessionary woes, the kind of folks, who, to paraphrase a WWD headline a few days ago, are more concerned with getting their high heels wet waiting in a drizzle outside of Chanel's couture show, than they are about this "thing" called a recession.

The titles are distributed to a consumer base in which roughly 50% have annual household incomes of over $250,000, as well as liquid assets and homes each valued at over $1 million. The books are also distributed through Net Jets, the private jet company owned by Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway, where Binn says he reaches customers with an average net worth of $25 million. 

"[Luxury brands] are relying on us more than ever to vertically integrate their products and their services to these wealth markets that we’re targeting with these very unique readers and consumers that we have,” Binn told me. “The [vast majority of] mainstream consumer magazines can’t really deliver those kind of  economic demographics to these brands.”

Though he did acknowledge that luxury marketers were shifting some dollars to more non-traditional media, for his part, Martinez said that it's a time when these brands need to maintain a consistency in their messaging.

"At a time like this its more important than ever to communicate with a singular voice and a singular vision...I think the worst thing a brand can do is to deviate from who they truly are, because over the long-term consumer confidence will be lost," Martinez told me. "One thing I think we have seen over the last number of years is a movement away from the more emotional creative and towards a more product-centric messaging. More dollars are being applied to Resort and Pre-Fall which are becoming true collections in their own right, where wearability becomes much bigger.”

Looks like for now, we'll have to play a game of wait and see concerning how the ad market will change for luxury players. Saks Fifth Avenue, for example, has already said that they're looking into doing ads in foreign magazines to grab some more tourism dollars, something the luxe retailer has never done before, and soon they'll start offering international shipping on their e-commerce Web site.

Meanwhile, I'll be comparison shopping the Vogue ad pages to see if any of this media shift stuff pans out. Oh, and Vanity Fair, you're on my list too.